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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Relegation Group - 27

Kick-off

Fri 17 Apr 2026

18:30

Venue

Merkur-Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Austria

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Grazer AK Win

50%

Grazer AK

2.00

26%

Draw

3.80

24%

Ried

4.21

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.4%

Home win

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.61

Grazer AK xG

Total xG

2.65

1.04

Ried xG

50%
26%
24%
Grazer AKDrawRied

2.00

50%

Home win

3.80

26%

Draw

4.21

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.91

48%

BTTS No

2.10

Clean Sheet

35%

Grazer AK

2.83

20%

Ried

5.00

Win to Nil

18%

Grazer AK

5.67

5%

Ried

21.04

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.1 7.3 3.8 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 11.4 11.8 6.2 2.1 0.6 0.1
2 9.2 9.5 5.0 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 4.9 5.1 2.7 0.9 0.2
4 2.0 2.1 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.610
λ Away (xG) 1.040
Total xG 2.650
League avg home goals 1.346
League avg away goals 1.147
Grazer AK attack strength 1.046
Grazer AK defence strength 1.041
Ried attack strength 0.870
Ried defence strength 1.143
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 22