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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sun 1 Mar 2026

16:00

Venue

Merkur-Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Austria

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Grazer AK Win

49%

Grazer AK

2.06

26%

Draw

3.89

26%

Ried

3.88

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.8%

Home win

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.52

Grazer AK xG

Total xG

2.56

1.04

Ried xG

49%
26%
26%
Grazer AKDrawRied

2.06

49%

Home win

3.89

26%

Draw

3.88

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.98

50%

BTTS No

2.02

Clean Sheet

35%

Grazer AK

2.82

22%

Ried

4.59

Win to Nil

17%

Grazer AK

5.81

6%

Ried

17.80

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.7 8.0 4.2 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 11.8 12.2 6.3 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 9.0 9.3 4.8 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 4.6 4.7 2.4 0.8 0.2
4 1.7 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.524
λ Away (xG) 1.037
Total xG 2.561
League avg home goals 1.317
League avg away goals 1.169
Grazer AK attack strength 1.028
Grazer AK defence strength 1.035
Ried attack strength 0.857
Ried defence strength 1.126
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 42 / 20