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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Relegation Group - 25

Kick-off

Sat 4 Apr 2026

16:00

Venue

Merkur-Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Austria

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Grazer AK Win

49%

Grazer AK

2.05

28%

Draw

3.57

23%

FC BW Linz

4.31

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

2 – 0

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.46

Grazer AK xG

Total xG

2.38

0.93

FC BW Linz xG

49%
28%
23%
Grazer AKDrawFC BW Linz

2.05

49%

Home win

3.57

28%

Draw

4.31

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.12

53%

BTTS No

1.89

Clean Sheet

40%

Grazer AK

2.52

23%

FC BW Linz

4.30

Win to Nil

19%

Grazer AK

5.18

5%

FC BW Linz

18.51

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.2 8.5 4.0 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 13.4 12.4 5.8 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 9.8 9.1 4.2 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 4.8 4.4 2.0 0.6 0.1
4 1.7 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.458
λ Away (xG) 0.926
Total xG 2.384
League avg home goals 1.346
League avg away goals 1.147
Grazer AK attack strength 1.050
Grazer AK defence strength 1.044
FC BW Linz attack strength 0.774
FC BW Linz defence strength 1.032
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 44