Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Championship Group - 23

Kick-off

Sun 15 Mar 2026

16:00

Venue

Generali Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Austria

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Austria Vienna Win

40%

Austria Vienna

2.48

27%

Draw

3.75

33%

Sturm Graz

3.03

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.0%

Home win

2 – 1

8.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.48

Austria Vienna xG

Total xG

2.79

1.32

Sturm Graz xG

40%
27%
33%
Austria ViennaDrawSturm Graz

2.48

40%

Home win

3.75

27%

Draw

3.03

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.75

43%

BTTS No

2.34

Clean Sheet

27%

Austria Vienna

3.73

23%

Sturm Graz

4.39

Win to Nil

11%

Austria Vienna

9.23

8%

Sturm Graz

13.31

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.1 8.0 5.3 2.3 0.8 0.2
1 9.0 11.9 7.8 3.4 1.1 0.3
2 6.7 8.8 5.8 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 3.3 4.3 2.9 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 1.2 1.6 1.1 0.5 0.2
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.479
λ Away (xG) 1.316
Total xG 2.795
League avg home goals 1.346
League avg away goals 1.147
Austria Vienna attack strength 1.086
Austria Vienna defence strength 1.009
Sturm Graz attack strength 1.136
Sturm Graz defence strength 1.012
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 44