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Under 2.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest under 2.5 probability — Sunday 30 July 2023

Thu 27 Fri 28 Sat 29 Sun 30 Mon 31 Tue 1 Wed 2

Under 2.5 goals lands when a match produces 2 goals or fewer. Our prediction model sums the probability of every scoreline with 2 goals or fewer — 0–0, 1–0, 1–1, 2–0 and their mirror images. Only fixtures with 55%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 13 fixtures on Sunday 30 July 2023. KuPS vs Kooteepee led the list at 71% in the Veikkausliiga. The shortlist runs from 71% down to 56%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the under 2.5 goals market — 77%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Veikkausliiga · Finland 71%

✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 66% ✓ KuPS Clean Sheet 55%

Allsvenskan · Sweden 65%

✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 57%

Premier League · Ukraine 64%

Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%

Superettan · Sweden 63%

✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 66% ✓ Vasteras SK FK Clean Sheet 59%

Canadian Premier League · Canada 62%

✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%

Ekstraklasa · Poland 61%

✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%

Premier League · Ukraine 61%

✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%

Veikkausliiga · Finland 58%

Ekstraklasa · Poland 57%

#10

Primera División · Chile 57%

#11

Veikkausliiga · Finland 56%

#12

Primera División · Chile 56%

#13

Super League · China 56%

✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 54%

Showing top 13 fixtures by under 2.5 probability (a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Low Scoring Both Teams to Score – No Over 2.5 Goals

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Under 2.5 Goals — common questions

What does the Under 2.5 Goals market mean?

Under 2.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with 2 or fewer total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate under 2.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The under 2.5 probability shown here is the probability of 2 or fewer total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Under 2.5 Goals on Sunday 30 July 2023?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by KuPS vs Kooteepee at 71% under 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these under 2.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.