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Under 2.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest under 2.5 probability β€” Friday 6 August 2021

Under 2.5 goals lands when a match produces 2 goals or fewer. Our prediction model sums the probability of every scoreline with 2 goals or fewer β€” 0–0, 1–0, 1–1, 2–0 and their mirror images. Only fixtures with 55%+ probability are shown.

Seven matches cleared our threshold on Friday 6 August 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Wuhan Zall vs Tianjin Teda at 72% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 72% down to 55%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Super League supplies three of the top 7, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the under 2.5 goals market — 71%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· China 72%
Wuhan Zall
1 : 1 FT
Tianjin Teda
Win 30%
βœ“ Draw 39%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 60%
#2 Serie A Β· Brazil 71%
Sport Recife
0 : 0 FT
RB Bragantino
Win 19%
Draw 30%
Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#3 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland 68%
Lech Poznan
2 : 0 FT
Cracovia Krakow
Win 31%
Draw 39%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#4 Super League Β· China 66%
Dalian Aerbin
0 : 5 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
Win 21%
Draw 37%
βœ“ Win 42%
Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#5 Super League Β· China 61%
Hebei Zhongji
0 : 0 FT
Beijing Guoan
Win 42%
Draw 35%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 61%
#6 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium 57%
Club Brugge KV
1 : 1 FT
Cercle Brugge
Win 23%
Draw 33%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#7 Premier League Β· Ukraine 55%
FC Kharkiv
3 : 2 FT
Chornomorets
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 55%

Showing top 7 fixtures by under 2.5 probability (a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Under 2.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Under 2.5 Goals market mean?

Under 2.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with 2 or fewer total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate under 2.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The under 2.5 probability shown here is the probability of 2 or fewer total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Under 2.5 Goals on Friday 6 August 2021?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Wuhan Zall vs Tianjin Teda at 72% under 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these under 2.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.