UK Football Predictions
English league and cup matches only — Wednesday 4 March 2026
Kick-off times in UK time (GMT/BST)
Free UK football predictions for 4 March 2026, showing only matches from Premier League, Championship, FA Cup and Carabao Cup that our Poisson prediction model covers. Each fixture carries over 2.5 goals, both teams to score and match result probabilities.
UK football had five fixtures on Wednesday 4 March 2026 across one competition, led by Premier League.
The model's standout reads were Newcastle vs Manchester United for over 2.5 goals at 71%, Newcastle vs Manchester United for both teams to score at 72%, and Manchester City as the strongest favourite at 67% (Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest). These are probabilities from the Poisson model, not certainties.
Of the three standout picks that have since finished, two landed. That is a very small sample; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
UK Football picks of the day
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Showing all 5 UK fixtures, grouped by competition. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
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UK Football — common questions
Which UK leagues do you cover?
Fixture360 covers a curated set of leagues rather than every division. Competitions we cover in the UK include Premier League, Championship, FA Cup and Carabao Cup; other UK competitions appear automatically whenever the data feed supplies fixtures for them. On Wednesday 4 March 2026 the page lists Premier League.
How many UK matches were predicted on Wednesday 4 March 2026?
five UK fixtures across one competition. The highest over 2.5 probability is Newcastle vs Manchester United at 71%.
How are UK football predictions calculated?
A Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from its attack and defence strengths in recent results, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. Over 2.5, both teams to score and match result probabilities are summed from those scorelines. No bookmaker odds are used as an input.
Are kick-off times shown in UK time?
Yes. Kick-off times on this page's fixture cards are shown in UK time (GMT/BST, the Europe/London time zone) and adjust automatically for summer time. They are not converted to your own location, so check the time against the official club or league listing before relying on it. The date selector uses UTC days.
Where can I find UK over 2.5 and BTTS predictions?
The Over 2.5 Goals and BTTS Yes market pages rank fixtures across every league we cover, including Premier League and Championship. The "UK Football picks of the day" card on this page links to the top UK fixture for each market.
Are these betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.