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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Friday 4 December 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
MVV
: 19:00
Dordrecht
Win 38%
Draw 24%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 61%
#2 Ligue 2 Β· France
Boulogne
: 19:00
PAU
Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 66%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Heracles
: 19:00
Emmen
Win 41%
Draw 23%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 64%
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Showing top 13 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.