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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Tuesday 1 September 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two Β· England
Rochdale
: 19:45
Shrewsbury
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 57%
#2 Championship Β· England
Birmingham
: 19:45
Southampton
Win 36%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 60%
#3 League Two Β· England
Northampton
: 19:45
Crawley Town
Win 36%
Draw 27%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 54%
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Showing top 20 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.