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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Tuesday 7 April 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Aalesund
2 : 3 FT
Fredrikstad
Win 38%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#2 Championship Β· England
Wrexham
1 : 5 FT
Southampton
Win 40%
Draw 24%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
#3 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Arka Gdynia
3 : 1 FT
Zaglebie Lubin
Win 31%
Draw 30%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 55%
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Showing top 8 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.