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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Tuesday 21 October 2025

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship Β· England
Hull City
2 : 1 FT
Leicester
Win 37%
Draw 25%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#2 Championship Β· England
Bristol City
3 : 1 FT
Southampton
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#3 Championship Β· England
Millwall
2 : 0 FT
Stoke City
Win 30%
Draw 30%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 57%
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Showing top 12 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.