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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Sunday 4 May 2025

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie B Β· Italy
Frosinone
1 : 1 FT
Cittadella
Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#2 Serie B Β· Italy
Cremonese
1 : 1 FT
Sassuolo
Win 38%
Draw 24%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
#3 Ligue 1 Β· France
Auxerre
1 : 2 FT
Le Havre
Win 38%
Draw 25%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
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Showing top 20 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.