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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Tuesday 21 April 2026

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

Five matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 21 April 2026. U. Catolica vs Union La Calera (U. Catolica over 1.5 goals) led the list at 79% in the Primera División. The shortlist runs from 79% down to 57%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans five different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the five fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primera División Β· Chile U. Catolica over 1.5 goals 79%
U. Catolica
1 : 2 FT
Union La Calera
Win 79%
Draw 13%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#2 Super League Β· China Chengdu Better City over 1.5 goals 76%
Chengdu Better City
2 : 1 FT
Yunnan Yukun
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 16%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#3 La Liga Β· Spain Real Madrid over 1.5 goals 71%
Real Madrid
2 : 1 FT
Alaves
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 18%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#4 Championship Β· England Coventry over 1.5 goals 58%
Coventry
5 : 1 FT
Portsmouth
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#5 K League 1 Β· South-Korea Jeonbuk Motors over 1.5 goals 57%
Jeonbuk Motors
1 : 2 FT
Incheon United
Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 5 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Tuesday 21 April 2026?

five fixtures met the criteria, led by U. Catolica vs Union La Calera (U. Catolica over 1.5 goals) at 79% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.