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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Sunday 5 October 2025

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 5 October 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Bodo/Glimt vs Haugesund (Bodo/Glimt over 1.5 goals) at 84% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 84% down to 55%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien Β· Norway Bodo/Glimt over 1.5 goals 84%
Bodo/Glimt
2 : 0 FT
Haugesund
βœ“ Win 85%
Draw 10%
Win 5%
Over 2.5 78%
#2 Ligue 1 Β· France Monaco over 1.5 goals 82%
Monaco
2 : 2 FT
Nice
Win 74%
Draw 14%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 82% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#3 Premier League Β· England Aston Villa over 1.5 goals 70%
Aston Villa
2 : 1 FT
Burnley
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Germany SC Freiburg over 1.5 goals 69%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0 : 0 FT
SC Freiburg
Win 24%
Draw 19%
Win 57%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 71%
#5 Serie B Β· Italy Sudtirol over 1.5 goals 69%
Sudtirol
1 : 2 FT
Empoli
Win 70%
Draw 22%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 62%
#6 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Twente over 1.5 goals 69%
Twente
2 : 1 FT
Heracles
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 18%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#7 Serie A Β· Brazil Vasco DA Gama over 1.5 goals 68%
Vasco DA Gama
4 : 3 FT
Vitoria
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 61%
#8 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany SV Elversberg over 1.5 goals 67%
1. FC Magdeburg
0 : 4 FT
SV Elversberg
Win 20%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 60%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 65%
#9 Premier League Β· England Brighton over 1.5 goals 66%
Wolves
1 : 1 FT
Brighton
Win 23%
Draw 21%
Win 56%
Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#10 Bundesliga Β· Germany FSV Mainz 05 over 1.5 goals 64%
Hamburger SV
4 : 0 FT
FSV Mainz 05
Win 19%
Draw 20%
Win 61%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 61%
#11 La Liga Β· Spain Barcelona over 1.5 goals 62%
Sevilla
4 : 1 FT
Barcelona
Win 20%
Draw 22%
Win 58%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#12 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Buriram United over 1.5 goals 61%
Buriram United
2 : 2 FT
BG Pathum United
Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#13 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden AIK Stockholm over 1.5 goals 61%
AIK Stockholm
2 : 3 FT
IFK Varnamo
Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#14 K League 1 Β· South-Korea Suwon City FC over 1.5 goals 60%
Suwon City FC
1 : 1 FT
FC Seoul
Win 46%
Draw 22%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#15 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands AZ Alkmaar over 1.5 goals 59%
AZ Alkmaar
2 : 1 FT
Telstar
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#16 Superettan Β· Sweden Oddevold over 1.5 goals 59%
Oddevold
1 : 0 FT
Utsikten
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 58%
#17 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Hannover 96 over 1.5 goals 57%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2 : 2 FT
Hannover 96
Win 24%
Draw 22%
Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#18 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Gaziantep FK over 1.5 goals 57%
Fatih Karagümrük
0 : 2 FT
Gaziantep FK
Win 22%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 51%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
#19 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands NEC Nijmegen over 1.5 goals 56%
GO Ahead Eagles
1 : 1 FT
NEC Nijmegen
Win 39%
Draw 21%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#20 Eliteserien Β· Norway Rosenborg over 1.5 goals 55%
Rosenborg
2 : 3 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 5 October 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bodo/Glimt vs Haugesund (Bodo/Glimt over 1.5 goals) at 84% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.