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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Tuesday 22 October 2024

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

Nine matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 22 October 2024. Leeds vs Watford (Leeds over 1.5 goals) led the list at 70% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 70% down to 56%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

League Two supplies three of the top 9, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 78%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship Β· England Leeds over 1.5 goals 70%
Leeds
2 : 1 FT
Watford
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 17%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS No 53%
#2 Championship Β· England Cardiff over 1.5 goals 68%
Cardiff
2 : 0 FT
Portsmouth
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 65%
#3 League Two Β· England Walsall over 1.5 goals 64%
Walsall
3 : 1 FT
Carlisle
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#4 League One Β· England Lincoln over 1.5 goals 62%
Crawley Town
3 : 0 FT
Lincoln
Win 13%
Draw 20%
Win 67%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#5 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Dordrecht over 1.5 goals 60%
Dordrecht
2 : 2 FT
Vitesse
Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#6 League One Β· England Wycombe over 1.5 goals 59%
Burton Albion
2 : 3 FT
Wycombe
Win 23%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#7 League Two Β· England Gillingham over 1.5 goals 56%
Gillingham
0 : 2 FT
Newport County
Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
✓ BTTS No 57%
#8 League Two Β· England AFC Wimbledon over 1.5 goals 56%
AFC Wimbledon
3 : 0 FT
Morecambe
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#9 League One Β· England Peterborough over 1.5 goals 56%
Peterborough
5 : 1 FT
Blackpool
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 22%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%

Showing top 9 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Tuesday 22 October 2024?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Leeds vs Watford (Leeds over 1.5 goals) at 70% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.