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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Friday 24 February 2023

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

Nine fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 24 February 2023. The strongest reading belongs to FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Mönchengladbach (FSV Mainz 05 over 1.5 goals) at 70% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 70% down to 55%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 56%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Germany FSV Mainz 05 over 1.5 goals 70%
FSV Mainz 05
4 : 0 FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 70%
#2 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Fortuna Düsseldorf over 1.5 goals 66%
Fortuna Düsseldorf
3 : 1 FT
Eintracht Braunschweig
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#3 Bundesliga Β· Austria Lask Linz over 1.5 goals 65%
Lask Linz
1 : 0 FT
Austria Lustenau
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 60%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Willem II over 1.5 goals 65%
Willem II
2 : 1 FT
Jong Ajax
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#5 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium Lommel United over 1.5 goals 59%
Standard Liège II
1 : 0 FT
Lommel United
Win 23%
Draw 22%
Win 55%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 61%
#6 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Kortrijk over 1.5 goals 56%
Zulte Waregem
3 : 3 FT
Kortrijk
Win 32%
Draw 25%
Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#7 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Sparta Rotterdam over 1.5 goals 56%
Sparta Rotterdam
0 : 3 FT
Utrecht
Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%
#8 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium Excelsior Virton over 1.5 goals 56%
Dender
2 : 1 FT
Excelsior Virton
Win 30%
Draw 22%
Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#9 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands NAC Breda over 1.5 goals 55%
NAC Breda
3 : 2 FT
Dordrecht
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%

Showing top 9 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Friday 24 February 2023?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Mönchengladbach (FSV Mainz 05 over 1.5 goals) at 70% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.