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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability — Saturday 4 February 2023

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Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 17 fixtures on Saturday 4 February 2023. Borussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburg (Borussia Dortmund over 1.5 goals) sits top on 79% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 79% down to 55%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Bundesliga supplies five of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 17 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 59%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Germany Borussia Dortmund over 1.5 goals 79%

✓ Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%

Bundesliga · Germany Borussia Mönchengladbach over 1.5 goals 75%

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 60%

Eredivisie · Netherlands AZ Alkmaar over 1.5 goals 74%

Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

Premier League · England Brighton over 1.5 goals 73%

Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 57%

Ligue 1 · France Paris Saint Germain over 1.5 goals 69%

✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%

Bundesliga · Germany Eintracht Frankfurt over 1.5 goals 69%

✓ Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 62%

Bundesliga · Germany 1. FC Köln over 1.5 goals 68%

Over 2.5 80% BTTS Yes 78%

League Two · England Carlisle over 1.5 goals 64%

Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 58%

Bundesliga · Germany Union Berlin over 1.5 goals 64%

✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

#10

Primeira Liga · Portugal Benfica over 1.5 goals 62%

✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 54%

#11

Süper Lig · Turkey Fatih Karagümrük over 1.5 goals 62%

Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 66%

#12

Premier League · England Arsenal over 1.5 goals 61%

#13

League One · England Derby over 1.5 goals 60%

#14

Challenger Pro League · Belgium K. Lierse S.K. over 1.5 goals 60%

Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 72%

#15

Challenger Pro League · Belgium RWDM over 1.5 goals 60%

#16

Bundesliga · Germany VfL Bochum over 1.5 goals 58%

✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%

#17

Premier League · England Brentford over 1.5 goals 55%

Showing top 17 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Team Over 1.5 Goals — common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Saturday 4 February 2023?

17 fixtures met the criteria, led by Borussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburg (Borussia Dortmund over 1.5 goals) at 79% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.