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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Friday 21 January 2022

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists five fixtures on Friday 21 January 2022. Arouca vs Benfica (Benfica over 1.5 goals) sits top on 84% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 84% down to 58%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans five different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the five fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Benfica over 1.5 goals 84%
Arouca
0 : 2 FT
Benfica
Win 7%
Draw 12%
βœ“ Win 81%
Over 2.5 80% BTTS Yes 61%
#2 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Ittihad FC over 1.5 goals 64%
Al-Ittihad FC
1 : 0 FT
Al-Faisaly FC
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 19%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 58% ✓ Al-Ittihad FC Clean Sheet 54%
#3 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Hamburger SV over 1.5 goals 61%
Hamburger SV
2 : 1 FT
FC St. Pauli
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Excelsior over 1.5 goals 61%
Jong PSV U21
3 : 0 FT
Excelsior
Win 29%
Draw 23%
Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 70%
#5 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Antwerp over 1.5 goals 58%
Oostende
1 : 2 FT
Antwerp
Win 19%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 60%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 5 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Friday 21 January 2022?

five fixtures met the criteria, led by Arouca vs Benfica (Benfica over 1.5 goals) at 84% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.