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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Wednesday 22 December 2021

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists eight fixtures on Wednesday 22 December 2021. Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard (Ajax over 1.5 goals) sits top on 83% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 83% down to 56%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eredivisie supplies three of the top 8, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Ajax over 1.5 goals 83%
Ajax
5 : 0 FT
Fortuna Sittard
βœ“ Win 84%
Draw 10%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 75%
#2 Serie A Β· Italy AC Milan over 1.5 goals 70%
Empoli
2 : 4 FT
AC Milan
Win 23%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#3 Serie A Β· Italy Napoli over 1.5 goals 68%
Napoli
0 : 1 FT
Spezia
Win 72%
Draw 18%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 60%
#4 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Sivasspor over 1.5 goals 65%
Sivasspor
1 : 1 FT
Rizespor
Win 73%
Draw 18%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 58% Sivasspor Clean Sheet 54%
#5 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Gaziantep FK over 1.5 goals 60%
Gaziantep FK
2 : 1 FT
Alanyaspor
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#6 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Utrecht over 1.5 goals 60%
Utrecht
1 : 1 FT
Twente
Win 52%
Draw 22%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#7 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Heracles over 1.5 goals 57%
Heracles
1 : 1 FT
Cambuur
Win 47%
Draw 22%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#8 La Liga Β· Spain Real Madrid over 1.5 goals 56%
Athletic Club
1 : 2 FT
Real Madrid
Win 21%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Showing top 8 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Wednesday 22 December 2021?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard (Ajax over 1.5 goals) at 83% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.