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Over 2.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 2.5 probability — Wednesday 3 March 2027

Over 2.5 goals is the most widely-backed goals market — it needs at least 3 goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 3 total goals, sitting between the safer over 1.5 and higher-risk over 3.5 markets. Only fixtures with 55%+ probability are shown.

Eleven fixtures clear the bar on Wednesday 3 March 2027. Energie Cottbus vs SV Darmstadt 98 sits top on 78% in the 2. Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 78% down to 55%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

2. Bundesliga supplies six of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Energie Cottbus
: 12:30
SV Darmstadt 98
Win 64%
Draw 17%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 71%
#2 2. Bundesliga · Germany
VfL Wolfsburg
: 12:30
1. FC Nürnberg
Win 40%
Draw 21%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 75%
#3 2. Bundesliga · Germany
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
: 12:30
Hertha BSC
Win 24%
Draw 20%
Win 56%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 67%
#4 Championship · England
Wolves
: 19:45
Preston
Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 68%
#5 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Karlsruher SC
: 12:30
FC St. Pauli
Win 29%
Draw 22%
Win 50%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 67%
#6 Premier League · England
Brentford
: 20:00
Ipswich
Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 56%
#7 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Holstein Kiel
: 12:30
Eintracht Braunschweig
Win 40%
Draw 23%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 64%
#8 Premier League · England
Arsenal
: 20:00
Crystal Palace
Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 56%
#9 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hannover 96
: 12:30
1. FC Magdeburg
Win 33%
Draw 24%
Win 43%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 59%
#10 Premier League · England
Chelsea
: 20:00
Coventry
Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 56%
#11 Championship · England
Sheffield Utd
: 19:45
Swansea
Win 24%
Draw 28%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 59%

Showing top 11 fixtures by over 2.5 goals probability (≥ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 2.5 Goals — common questions

What does the Over 2.5 Goals market mean?

Over 2.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 3 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 2.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 2.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 3 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 2.5 Goals on Wednesday 3 March 2027?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by Energie Cottbus vs SV Darmstadt 98 at 78% over 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher over 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 2.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.