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Over 2.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 2.5 probability β€” Sunday 29 November 2020

Over 2.5 goals is the most widely-backed goals market β€” it needs at least 3 goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 3 total goals, sitting between the safer over 1.5 and higher-risk over 3.5 markets. Only fixtures with 55%+ probability are shown.

Eight matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 29 November 2020. Bayer Leverkusen vs Hertha BSC led the list at 81% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 81% down to 56%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eliteserien supplies four of the top 8, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the over 2.5 goals market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Bayer Leverkusen
0 : 0 FT
Hertha BSC
Win 31%
Draw 23%
Win 46%
Over 2.5 81% BTTS Yes 80%
#2 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Bodo/Glimt
5 : 1 FT
Rosenborg
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 16%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 65%
#3 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Varbergs BoIS FC
3 : 2 FT
Malmo FF
Win 29%
Draw 24%
Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Germany
FSV Mainz 05
1 : 1 FT
1899 Hoffenheim
Win 24%
Draw 29%
Win 47%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#5 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Molde
3 : 1 FT
Haugesund
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#6 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Kristiansund BK
2 : 1 FT
Stromsgodset
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 23%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#7 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Sirius
1 : 1 FT
IF Elfsborg
Win 29%
Draw 26%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#8 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Valerenga
1 : 1 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 56%

Showing top 8 fixtures by over 2.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 2.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 2.5 Goals market mean?

Over 2.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 3 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 2.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 2.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 3 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 2.5 Goals on Sunday 29 November 2020?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Bayer Leverkusen vs Hertha BSC at 81% over 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher over 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 2.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.