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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Friday 30 April 2027

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

Ten fixtures clear the bar on Friday 30 April 2027. The strongest reading belongs to Roda vs Emmen at 92% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 70%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eerste Divisie supplies five of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Roda
: 18:00
Emmen
Win 49%
Draw 20%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 75%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Vitesse
: 18:00
FC Volendam
Win 52%
Draw 20%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 73%
#3 Ligue 2 Β· France
Reims
: 18:00
Grenoble
Win 50%
Draw 23%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 72%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Heracles
: 18:00
Almere City FC
Win 38%
Draw 21%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 73%
#5 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
NAC Breda
: 18:00
Waalwijk
Win 28%
Draw 22%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 64%
#6 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC OSS
: 18:00
De Graafschap
Win 50%
Draw 22%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 63%
#7 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
BG Pathum United
: 12:00
Uthai Thani
Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
#8 Ligue 2 Β· France
Montpellier
: 18:00
Saint Etienne
Win 29%
Draw 30%
Win 41%
BTTS Yes 54%
#9 Ligue 2 Β· France
Rodez
: 18:00
Metz
Win 48%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 55%
#10 Ligue 2 Β· France
Clermont Foot
: 18:00
Nantes
Win 43%
Draw 31%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 58%

Showing top 10 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Friday 30 April 2027?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by Roda vs Emmen at 92% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.