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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Tuesday 16 March 2027

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

Seven fixtures clear the bar on Tuesday 16 March 2027. Wrexham vs Norwich sits top on 88% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 71%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Championship supplies seven of the top 7, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship Β· England
Wrexham
– : – 19:45
Norwich
Win 39%
Draw 22%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 70%
#2 Championship Β· England
Southampton
– : – 19:45
Wolves
Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 55%
#3 Championship Β· England
Derby
– : – 19:45
Middlesbrough
Win 17%
Draw 20%
Win 63%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 56%
#4 Championship Β· England
Preston
– : – 19:45
Burnley
Win 42%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 61%
#5 Championship Β· England
Lincoln
– : – 19:45
Cardiff
Win 41%
Draw 24%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 61%
#6 Championship Β· England
QPR
– : – 19:45
Stoke City
Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 55%
#7 Championship Β· England
Swansea
– : – 19:45
Bristol City
Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 55%

Showing top 7 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Tuesday 16 March 2027?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Wrexham vs Norwich at 88% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.