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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Tuesday 12 January 2027

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

Nine fixtures clear the bar on Tuesday 12 January 2027. Bayern München vs Bayer Leverkusen sits top on 94% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 73%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Bundesliga supplies nine of the top 9, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Bayern München
: 19:30
Bayer Leverkusen
Win 69%
Draw 16%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 82% BTTS Yes 72%
#2 Bundesliga Β· Germany
SV Elversberg
: 19:30
Eintracht Frankfurt
Win 42%
Draw 21%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 79% BTTS Yes 78%
#3 Bundesliga Β· Germany
RB Leipzig
: 19:30
VfB Stuttgart
Win 66%
Draw 18%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 69%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Köln
: 19:30
Borussia Dortmund
Win 35%
Draw 23%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 72%
#5 Bundesliga Β· Germany
SC Freiburg
: 19:30
Hamburger SV
Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 61%
#6 Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC Augsburg
: 19:30
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 57%
#7 Bundesliga Β· Germany
FSV Mainz 05
: 19:30
1899 Hoffenheim
Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
#8 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Union Berlin
: 19:30
SC Paderborn 07
Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 58%
#9 Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC Schalke 04
: 19:30
Werder Bremen
Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 29%

Showing top 9 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Tuesday 12 January 2027?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Bayern München vs Bayer Leverkusen at 94% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.