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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Friday 8 January 2027

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

The model shortlists six fixtures on Friday 8 January 2027. FC Volendam vs Helmond Sport tops the list at 96% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 96% down to 76%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eerste Divisie supplies four of the top 6, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Volendam
– : – 19:00
Helmond Sport
Win 80%
Draw 11%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 88% BTTS Yes 72%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
– : – 19:00
Jong AZ
Win 33%
Draw 19%
Win 48%
Over 2.5 83% BTTS Yes 79%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Den Bosch
– : – 19:00
De Graafschap
Win 39%
Draw 23%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 65%
#4 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Twente
– : – 19:00
Fortuna Sittard
Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 60%
#5 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Roda
– : – 19:00
VVV Venlo
Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 59%
#6 League One Β· England
Burton Albion
– : – 20:00
Blackpool
Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 22%

Showing top 6 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Friday 8 January 2027?

six fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Volendam vs Helmond Sport at 96% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.