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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Tuesday 19 August 2025

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

The model shortlists twelve fixtures on Tuesday 19 August 2025. Mlada Boleslav vs Plzen led the list at 87% in the Czech Liga. The shortlist runs from 87% down to 71%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

League Two supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the twelve fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the over 1.5 goals market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Mlada Boleslav
0 : 5 FT
Plzen
Win 35%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 69%
#2 League Two Β· England
Walsall
0 : 1 FT
Grimsby
Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 65%
#3 League One Β· England
Mansfield Town
2 : 0 FT
Blackpool
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 63%
#4 League One Β· England
Peterborough
0 : 1 FT
Barnsley
Win 29%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 45%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 61%
#5 League One Β· England
Plymouth
0 : 1 FT
Leyton Orient
Win 29%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 44%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
#6 League Two Β· England
Swindon Town
0 : 2 FT
Barnet
Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 53%
#7 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Madrid
1 : 0 FT
Osasuna
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
BTTS Yes 55%
#8 League Two Β· England
Newport County
0 : 1 FT
Salford City
Win 29%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 42%
BTTS Yes 54%
#9 League One Β· England
Huddersfield
2 : 0 FT
Doncaster
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
#10 League Two Β· England
Harrogate Town
1 : 0 FT
Barrow
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 29%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#11 League Two Β· England
Colchester
1 : 2 FT
Cambridge United
Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 54%
#12 League Two Β· England
Crawley Town
1 : 1 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
Win 25%
Draw 29%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 57%

Showing top 12 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Tuesday 19 August 2025?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Mlada Boleslav vs Plzen at 87% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.