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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Sunday 15 June 2025

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

Five fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 15 June 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Varbergs BoIS FC vs Vasteras SK FK at 85% in the Superettan. The shortlist runs from 85% down to 72%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Superettan supplies three of the top 5, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the five fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the over 1.5 goals market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Superettan Β· Sweden
Varbergs BoIS FC
1 : 0 FT
Vasteras SK FK
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 19%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 60%
#2 Superettan Β· Sweden
IK brage
3 : 2 FT
Orgryte IS
Win 34%
Draw 25%
Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#3 Superettan Β· Sweden
Trelleborg
1 : 1 FT
Utsikten
Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 35%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#4 Primera División Β· Chile
O'Higgins
1 : 0 FT
Union Espanola
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
#5 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Vancouver FC
0 : 2 FT
Forge
Win 19%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 55%

Showing top 5 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 15 June 2025?

five fixtures met the criteria, led by Varbergs BoIS FC vs Vasteras SK FK at 85% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.