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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Monday 31 March 2025

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

14 fixtures cleared the bar on Monday 31 March 2025. Jong PSV U21 vs Den Bosch sits top on 84% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 84% down to 70%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 14 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the over 1.5 goals market — 79%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong PSV U21
2 : 4 FT
Den Bosch
Win 36%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#2 Serie A Β· Italy
Lazio
1 : 1 FT
Torino
Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong AZ
1 : 1 FT
FC OSS
Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#4 Premier League Β· Russia
Akron
2 : 3 FT
FC Rostov
Win 29%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#5 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Eyüpspor
1 : 3 FT
Başakşehir
Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#6 Primera División Β· Chile
Union La Calera
2 : 1 FT
Cobresal
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#7 Ligue 2 Β· France
Paris FC
4 : 2 FT
Caen
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#8 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Varnamo
1 : 2 FT
Sirius
Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#9 La Liga Β· Spain
Celta Vigo
1 : 1 FT
Las Palmas
Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
#10 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Ajax
0 : 2 FT
FC Volendam
Win 37%
Draw 26%
Win 37%
BTTS Yes 56%
#11 Superettan Β· Sweden
Oddevold
1 : 0 FT
Umeå FC
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
#12 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Gais
0 : 1 FT
AIK Stockholm
Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
#13 Serie A Β· Italy
Hellas Verona
0 : 0 FT
Parma
Win 34%
Draw 29%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#14 Serie A Β· Brazil
Bahia
1 : 1 FT
Corinthians
Win 39%
Draw 33%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 58%

Showing top 14 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Monday 31 March 2025?

14 fixtures met the criteria, led by Jong PSV U21 vs Den Bosch at 84% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.