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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Friday 8 November 2024

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Friday 8 November 2024. 1. FC Nürnberg vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern led the list at 92% in the 2. Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 78%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eerste Divisie supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the over 1.5 goals market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Nürnberg
0 : 0 FT
1. FC Kaiserslautern
Win 43%
Draw 22%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 77%
#2 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Sukhothai FC
5 : 2 FT
Nong Bua Pitchaya
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Volendam
2 : 0 FT
Jong Utrecht
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 21%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 69%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Excelsior
2 : 0 FT
FC Eindhoven
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 22%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 70%
#5 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
MVV
0 : 0 FT
De Graafschap
Win 35%
Draw 24%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 70%
#6 Ligue 2 Β· France
Rodez
5 : 1 FT
Annecy
Win 30%
Draw 22%
Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#7 Ligue 1 Β· France
Marseille
1 : 3 FT
Auxerre
Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#8 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Utrecht
1 : 0 FT
Heracles
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 56%
#9 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
2 : 0 FT
Vitesse
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 65%
#10 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Riyadh
0 : 1 FT
Al-Nassr
Win 27%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 51%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 63%
#11 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Piast Gliwice
2 : 3 FT
Motor Lublin
Win 57%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#12 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC OSS
1 : 0 FT
Den Bosch
Win 24%
Draw 25%
Win 51%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 60%
#13 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Pogon Szczecin
0 : 1 FT
Radomiak Radom
Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 60%
#14 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
VVV Venlo
0 : 1 FT
Jong AZ
Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 61%
#15 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
St. Truiden
2 : 1 FT
KV Mechelen
Win 34%
Draw 32%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#16 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ahli Jeddah
2 : 0 FT
Al-Raed
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 59%
#17 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Eintracht Braunschweig
3 : 1 FT
Hamburger SV
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#18 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Union Berlin
0 : 0 FT
SC Freiburg
Win 36%
Draw 32%
Win 32%
BTTS Yes 58%
#19 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Emmen
4 : 2 FT
Jong Ajax
Win 32%
Draw 27%
Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#20 Championship Β· England
Watford
1 : 0 FT
Oxford United
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 53%

Showing top 20 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Friday 8 November 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by 1. FC Nürnberg vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern at 92% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.