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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Friday 31 May 2024

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

The model shortlists six fixtures on Friday 31 May 2024. SJK vs Mariehamn led the list at 85% in the Veikkausliiga. The shortlist runs from 85% down to 76%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Veikkausliiga supplies four of the top 6, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the six fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the over 1.5 goals market — 83%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
SJK
0 : 2 FT
Mariehamn
Win 59%
Draw 26%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 60%
#2 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Inter Turku
3 : 1 FT
Haka
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#3 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Ilves
1 : 2 FT
KuPS
Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#4 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
AC Oulu
1 : 0 FT
HJK Helsinki
Win 30%
Draw 33%
Win 36%
BTTS Yes 58%
#5 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Waterford
2 : 1 FT
Bohemians
Win 35%
Draw 25%
Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#6 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Drogheda United
0 : 2 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 36%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 38%
BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 6 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Friday 31 May 2024?

six fixtures met the criteria, led by SJK vs Mariehamn at 85% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.