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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Saturday 26 March 2022

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

The model shortlists eleven fixtures on Saturday 26 March 2022. Sheffield Wednesday vs Cheltenham led the list at 88% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 72%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

League One supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the eleven fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the over 1.5 goals market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One Β· England
Sheffield Wednesday
4 : 1 FT
Cheltenham
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Excelsior
3 : 0 FT
Helmond Sport
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 18%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 56%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Den Bosch
0 : 0 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 29%
Draw 25%
Win 45%
BTTS Yes 56%
#4 League Two Β· England
Crawley Town
1 : 0 FT
Rochdale
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
BTTS Yes 54%
#5 League Two Β· England
Oldham
1 : 2 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 24%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#6 League One Β· England
Accrington ST
1 : 2 FT
Gillingham
Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
#7 League One Β· England
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 1 FT
Cambridge United
Win 42%
Draw 29%
Win 29%
BTTS Yes 54%
#8 League Two Β· England
Port Vale
2 : 0 FT
Sutton Utd
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#9 League Two Β· England
Bradford
0 : 0 FT
Newport County
Win 23%
Draw 30%
Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#10 League One Β· England
Shrewsbury
1 : 0 FT
Lincoln
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#11 League Two Β· England
Scunthorpe
0 : 3 FT
Harrogate Town
Win 27%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 42%
Under 2.5 55%

Showing top 11 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Saturday 26 March 2022?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by Sheffield Wednesday vs Cheltenham at 88% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.