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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Sunday 21 March 2021

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

Three matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 21 March 2021. 1899 Hoffenheim vs FSV Mainz 05 led the list at 80% in the Bundesliga.

Bundesliga supplies three of the top 3, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the three fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the over 1.5 goals market — 100%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Germany
1899 Hoffenheim
1 : 2 FT
FSV Mainz 05
Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#2 Bundesliga Β· Germany
SC Freiburg
2 : 0 FT
FC Augsburg
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
BTTS Yes 56%
#3 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hertha BSC
3 : 0 FT
Bayer Leverkusen
Win 17%
Draw 27%
Win 56%
Under 2.5 55%

Showing top 3 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 21 March 2021?

three fixtures met the criteria, led by 1899 Hoffenheim vs FSV Mainz 05 at 80% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.