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One-Sided Predictions

Biggest mismatches ranked by dominant win probability — Saturday 16 January 2027

These are the day's biggest mismatches — fixtures where the prediction model gives one team a 60%+ win probability. Useful for finding confident accumulator legs, handicap markets, and Asian lines. The favourite can be the home or away side — the model ranks purely on statistical dominance, not venue.

The model shortlists twelve fixtures on Saturday 16 January 2027. Bayer Leverkusen vs FC Schalke 04 sits top on 80% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 80% down to 60%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

League One supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga · Germany
Bayer Leverkusen
: 14:30
FC Schalke 04
Win 80%
Draw 13%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 54%
#2 Super League 1 · Greece
AEK Athens FC
: 16:00
Kalamata
Win 79%
Draw 17%
Win 4%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS No 60% AEK Athens FC Clean Sheet 59%
#3 League One · England
Bromley
: 15:00
Stockport County
Win 7%
Draw 16%
Win 77%
Over 2.5 65%
#4 League Two · England
Bristol Rovers
: 15:00
Shrewsbury
Win 74%
Draw 18%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS No 58% Bristol Rovers Clean Sheet 53%
#5 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Union St. Gilloise
: 17:15
RAAL La Louvière
Win 70%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS No 56%
#6 2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Kaiserslautern
: 12:30
Energie Cottbus
Win 69%
Draw 17%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 61%
#7 Championship · England
Wolves
: 15:00
Burnley
Win 68%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 70%
#8 Super League · Switzerland
FC Sion
: 16:00
Grasshoppers
Win 67%
Draw 18%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 66%
#9 League One · England
Luton
: 15:00
Milton Keynes Dons
Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 66%
#10 League One · England
Burton Albion
: 15:00
Peterborough
Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 58%
#11 League One · England
Reading
: 15:00
Wigan
Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 67%
#12 Premier League · England
Bournemouth
: 15:00
Ipswich
Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 61%

Showing top 12 fixtures where one team has 60%+ win probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

One-Sided — common questions

What does the One-Sided market mean?

One-Sided settles on whether a match has a clear statistical favourite. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate one-sided probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The favourite's win probability shown here is the stronger of the two win probabilities, regardless of which side is at home. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for One-Sided on Saturday 16 January 2027?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Bayer Leverkusen vs FC Schalke 04 at 80% favourite's win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 60% or higher win probability for one side, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these one-sided predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.