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One-Sided Predictions

Biggest mismatches ranked by dominant win probability β€” Friday 27 November 2026

These are the day's biggest mismatches β€” fixtures where the prediction model gives one team a 60%+ win probability. Useful for finding confident accumulator legs, handicap markets, and Asian lines. The favourite can be the home or away side β€” the model ranks purely on statistical dominance, not venue.

Four fixtures clear the bar on Friday 27 November 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Jong Utrecht vs Almere City FC at 68% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 68% down to 64%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 4, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
: 19:00
Almere City FC
Win 16%
Draw 16%
Win 68%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 67%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Ajax
: 19:00
Heracles
Win 19%
Draw 13%
Win 68%
Over 2.5 94% BTTS Yes 87%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Dordrecht
: 19:00
Vitesse
Win 18%
Draw 17%
Win 64%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 69%
#4 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Uthai Thani
: 12:00
Sisaket United
Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%

Showing top 4 fixtures where one team has 60%+ win probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

One-Sided β€” common questions

What does the One-Sided market mean?

One-Sided settles on whether a match has a clear statistical favourite. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate one-sided probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The favourite's win probability shown here is the stronger of the two win probabilities, regardless of which side is at home. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for One-Sided on Friday 27 November 2026?

four fixtures met the criteria, led by Jong Utrecht vs Almere City FC at 68% favourite's win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 60% or higher win probability for one side, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these one-sided predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.