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Serie A Predictions

Italian league and cup matches only β€” Thursday 1 May 2025

Kick-off times in Italian time (CET/CEST)

Free Italian football predictions for 1 May 2025, showing only matches from Serie A, Serie B and Coppa Italia that our Poisson prediction model covers. Each fixture carries over 2.5 goals, both teams to score and match result probabilities.

There were ten Italian fixtures on Thursday 1 May 2025, spread across one competition, led by Serie B.

The model's standout reads were Palermo vs Sudtirol for over 2.5 goals at 61%, Palermo vs Sudtirol for both teams to score at 63%, and Sassuolo as the strongest favourite at 70% (Sassuolo vs Carrarese). Treat them as model output rather than a guide to what will happen.

Of the three standout picks that have since finished, three landed. That is a very small sample; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B logo

Serie B predictions

10 matches Β· Italy Serie B hub →
Juve Stabia
2 : 0 FT
Catanzaro
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 29%
Win 27%
BTTS Yes 54%
Cosenza
1 : 0 FT
Bari
Win 26%
Draw 32%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Mantova
3 : 0 FT
Cesena
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 56%
Modena
2 : 3 FT
Reggiana
Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 54%
Palermo
1 : 2 FT
Sudtirol
Win 48%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Pisa
1 : 0 FT
Frosinone
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Sampdoria
0 : 0 FT
Cremonese
Win 23%
Draw 32%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Spezia
2 : 0 FT
Salernitana
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 28%
Win 12%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ Spezia Clean Sheet 57%
Cittadella
0 : 1 FT
Brescia
Win 25%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Sassuolo
2 : 0 FT
Carrarese
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 60%

Showing all 10 Italian fixtures, grouped by competition. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Italian Football β€” common questions

Which Italian leagues do you cover?

Fixture360 covers a curated set of leagues rather than every division. Competitions we cover in Italy include Serie A, Serie B and Coppa Italia; other Italian competitions appear automatically whenever the data feed supplies fixtures for them. On Thursday 1 May 2025 the page lists Serie B.

How many Italian matches were predicted on Thursday 1 May 2025?

ten Italian fixtures across one competition. The highest over 2.5 probability is Palermo vs Sudtirol at 61%.

How are Italian football predictions calculated?

A Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from its attack and defence strengths in recent results, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. Over 2.5, both teams to score and match result probabilities are summed from those scorelines. No bookmaker odds are used as an input.

Are kick-off times shown in Italian time?

Yes. Kick-off times on this page's fixture cards are shown in Italian time (CET/CEST, the Europe/Rome time zone) and adjust automatically for summer time. They are not converted to your own location, so check the time against the official club or league listing before relying on it. The date selector uses UTC days.

Where can I find Italian over 2.5 and BTTS predictions?

The Over 2.5 Goals and BTTS Yes market pages rank fixtures across every league we cover, including Serie A and Serie B. The "Italian Football picks of the day" card on this page links to the top Italian fixture for each market.

Are these betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.