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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability — Sunday 23 May 2027

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher — making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

14 fixtures clear the bar on Sunday 23 May 2027. The strongest reading belongs to Barcelona vs Malaga at 80% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 80% down to 56%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Süper Lig supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga · Spain
Barcelona
– : – 15:00
Malaga
Win 80%
Draw 14%
Win 6%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 55%
#2 Süper Lig · Turkey
Başakşehir
– : – 12:00
Alanyaspor
Win 78%
Draw 13%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 56%
#3 Süper Lig · Turkey
Trabzonspor
– : – 12:00
Erzurumspor FK
Win 74%
Draw 17%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS No 57%
#4 Serie A · Italy
Frosinone
– : – 16:30
Cagliari
Win 69%
Draw 17%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 63%
#5 2. Bundesliga · Germany
VfL Wolfsburg
– : – 13:30
Dynamo Dresden
Win 68%
Draw 17%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 67%
#6 Süper Lig · Turkey
Galatasaray
– : – 12:00
Gaziantep FK
Win 62%
Draw 19%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 64%
#7 Premier League · England
Leeds
– : – 14:00
Sunderland
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 54%
#8 La Liga · Spain
Villarreal
– : – 15:00
Osasuna
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 65%
#9 Premier League · England
Brentford
– : – 14:00
Hull City
Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 61%
#10 Süper Lig · Turkey
Samsunspor
– : – 12:00
Eyüpspor
Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 57%
#11 La Liga · Spain
Atletico Madrid
– : – 15:00
Athletic Club
Win 57%
Draw 28%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 54%
#12 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Karlsruher SC
– : – 13:30
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 64%
#13 Premier League · England
Fulham
– : – 14:00
Coventry
Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
#14 Premier League · England
Brighton
– : – 14:00
Liverpool
Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 14 fixtures by home win probability (≥ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Home Banker — common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Sunday 23 May 2027?

14 fixtures met the criteria, led by Barcelona vs Malaga at 80% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.