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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Friday 24 October 2025

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

Eight fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 24 October 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Port FC vs Muangthong United at 74% in the Thai League 1. The shortlist runs from 74% down to 55%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, two landed the home win market — 25%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Port FC
1 : 0 FT
Muangthong United
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 18%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 58%
#2 Premier Division Β· Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
1 : 1 FT
Waterford
Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
BTTS No 55%
#3 Serie A Β· Italy
AC Milan
2 : 2 FT
Pisa
Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#4 Serie B Β· Italy
Modena
2 : 1 FT
Empoli
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 27%
Win 12%
#5 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
0 : 0 FT
FC OSS
Win 58%
Draw 20%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 69%
#6 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Ajax
0 : 1 FT
Emmen
Win 56%
Draw 20%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 66%
#7 Super League Β· China
Wuhan Three Towns
1 : 2 FT
Sichuan Jiuniu
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#8 Superettan Β· Sweden
Orgryte IS
0 : 2 FT
Vasteras SK FK
Win 55%
Draw 21%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 66%

Showing top 8 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Friday 24 October 2025?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Port FC vs Muangthong United at 74% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.