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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Sunday 19 January 2025

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

Ten matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 19 January 2025. Buriram United vs Khon Kaen United led the list at 84% in the Thai League 1. The shortlist runs from 84% down to 56%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the home win market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Buriram United
9 : 0 FT
Khon Kaen United
βœ“ Win 84%
Draw 12%
Win 4%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59% ✓ Buriram United Clean Sheet 58%
#2 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Göztepe
1 : 0 FT
Antalyaspor
βœ“ Win 81%
Draw 14%
Win 5%
Over 2.5 72%
#3 Championship Β· England
Leeds
3 : 0 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 55%
#4 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Union St. Gilloise
1 : 0 FT
OH Leuven
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 26%
Win 12%
#5 Premier League Β· England
Nottingham Forest
3 : 2 FT
Southampton
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 29%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 64% Nottingham Forest Clean Sheet 57%
#6 Serie B Β· Italy
Sassuolo
5 : 3 FT
Sudtirol
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 27%
Win 14%
#7 Super League Β· Switzerland
Lausanne
0 : 0 FT
FC Luzern
Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 64%
#8 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Antwerp
3 : 2 FT
KVC Westerlo
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#9 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Madrid
4 : 1 FT
Las Palmas
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 21%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#10 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Werder Bremen
0 : 2 FT
FC Augsburg
Win 56%
Draw 20%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 69%

Showing top 10 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Sunday 19 January 2025?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by Buriram United vs Khon Kaen United at 84% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.