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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Sunday 15 December 2024

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

16 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 15 December 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Plzen vs České Budějovice at 82% in the Czech Liga. The shortlist runs from 82% down to 55%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 16 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the home win market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Plzen
7 : 2 FT
České Budějovice
βœ“ Win 82%
Draw 12%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 71%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Twente
2 : 0 FT
Groningen
βœ“ Win 81%
Draw 12%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 72%
#3 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Ajax
3 : 0 FT
Almere City FC
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 17%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 60% ✓ Ajax Clean Sheet 55%
#4 La Liga Β· Spain
Barcelona
0 : 1 FT
Leganes
Win 69%
Draw 17%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 59%
#5 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Club Brugge KV
2 : 0 FT
Genk
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 70%
#6 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Gent
1 : 1 FT
Cercle Brugge
Win 66%
Draw 24%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 58%
#7 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Fenerbahçe
3 : 1 FT
Başakşehir
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#8 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Borussia Dortmund
1 : 1 FT
1899 Hoffenheim
Win 64%
Draw 25%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 53%
#9 Serie B Β· Italy
Brescia
0 : 0 FT
Carrarese
Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 58%
#10 Premier League Β· England
Chelsea
2 : 1 FT
Brentford
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#11 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Jazira
1 : 3 FT
Al Ain
Win 60%
Draw 19%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 84% ✓ BTTS Yes 79%
#12 La Liga Β· Spain
Atletico Madrid
1 : 0 FT
Getafe
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#13 Serie A Β· Italy
AC Milan
0 : 0 FT
Genoa
Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#14 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Lugano
1 : 4 FT
Lausanne
Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
#15 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Union St. Gilloise
3 : 1 FT
KVC Westerlo
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 30%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 54%
#16 La Liga Β· Spain
Villarreal
1 : 2 FT
Real Betis
Win 55%
Draw 21%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

Showing top 16 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Sunday 15 December 2024?

16 fixtures met the criteria, led by Plzen vs České Budějovice at 82% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.