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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Sunday 20 October 2024

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

15 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 20 October 2024. Deportes Iquique vs Cobreloa sits top on 75% in the Primera División. The shortlist runs from 75% down to 57%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 15 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the home win market — 73%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primera División Β· Chile
Deportes Iquique
4 : 1 FT
Cobreloa
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 15%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 66%
#2 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Ratchaburi
1 : 0 FT
Chiangrai United
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 18%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 54%
#3 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
KV Mechelen
3 : 0 FT
Kortrijk
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 65%
#4 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
PEC Zwolle
1 : 2 FT
NAC Breda
Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#5 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Raków Częstochowa
1 : 0 FT
Pogon Szczecin
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
#6 La Liga Β· Spain
Barcelona
5 : 1 FT
Sevilla
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 25%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 53%
#7 Super League Β· Switzerland
Lausanne
2 : 0 FT
FC Winterthur
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 19%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 66%
#8 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Viking
3 : 3 FT
ODD Ballklubb
Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 56%
#9 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Genk
3 : 2 FT
St. Truiden
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 26%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#10 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Bangkok United
4 : 1 FT
Sukhothai FC
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#11 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Fredrikstad
2 : 1 FT
Lillestrom
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#12 Superettan Β· Sweden
Osters IF
3 : 4 FT
Varbergs BoIS FC
Win 59%
Draw 20%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
#13 Primera División Β· Chile
A. Italiano
0 : 2 FT
Huachipato
Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
#14 La Liga Β· Spain
Atletico Madrid
3 : 1 FT
Leganes
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 29%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 61%
#15 Premier League Β· Ukraine
LNZ Cherkasy
2 : 0 FT
Inhulets
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 55%

Showing top 15 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Sunday 20 October 2024?

15 fixtures met the criteria, led by Deportes Iquique vs Cobreloa at 75% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.