Sign in Register
🏠

Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Sunday 19 May 2024

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

17 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 19 May 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Feyenoord vs Excelsior at 88% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 55%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Premier League supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 17 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the home win market — 65%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Feyenoord
4 : 0 FT
Excelsior
βœ“ Win 88%
Draw 9%
Win 4%
✓ Over 2.5 83% BTTS Yes 56%
#2 Premier League Β· England
Manchester City
3 : 1 FT
West Ham
βœ“ Win 81%
Draw 11%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 83% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#3 Premier League Β· England
Arsenal
2 : 1 FT
Everton
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 17%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS No 56%
#4 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Hammarby FF
2 : 1 FT
AIK Stockholm
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 15%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#5 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven
3 : 1 FT
Waalwijk
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#6 Premier League Β· England
Chelsea
2 : 1 FT
Bournemouth
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 17%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#7 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Khon Kaen United
5 : 1 FT
Sukhothai FC
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#8 Premier League Β· England
Liverpool
2 : 0 FT
Wolves
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 18%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 63%
#9 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Fortuna Düsseldorf
3 : 2 FT
1. FC Magdeburg
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
#10 La Liga Β· Spain
Barcelona
3 : 0 FT
Rayo Vallecano
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#11 La Liga Β· Spain
Atletico Madrid
1 : 4 FT
Osasuna
Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#12 Superettan Β· Sweden
Landskrona BoIS
0 : 0 FT
Orebro SK
Win 61%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
✓ BTTS No 53%
#13 Super League 1 Β· Greece
AEK Athens FC
3 : 0 FT
Lamia
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 65%
#14 Primera División Β· Chile
Nublense
2 : 2 FT
O'Higgins
Win 58%
Draw 21%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#15 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Gwangju FC
0 : 3 FT
Jeonbuk Motors
Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 57%
#16 Serie A Β· Italy
Sassuolo
0 : 2 FT
Cagliari
Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 58%
#17 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Cavalry FC
2 : 2 FT
York United
Win 55%
Draw 30%
Win 15%

Showing top 17 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Sunday 19 May 2024?

17 fixtures met the criteria, led by Feyenoord vs Excelsior at 88% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.