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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Saturday 2 December 2023

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

The model shortlists 18 fixtures on Saturday 2 December 2023. Antwerp vs OH Leuven led the list at 82% in the Jupiler Pro League. The shortlist runs from 82% down to 55%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the home win market — 72%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Antwerp
1 : 0 FT
OH Leuven
βœ“ Win 82%
Draw 12%
Win 6%
Over 2.5 81% BTTS Yes 60%
#2 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Madrid
2 : 0 FT
Granada CF
βœ“ Win 82%
Draw 13%
Win 5%
Over 2.5 73%
#3 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Adana Demirspor
2 : 3 FT
Samsunspor
Win 80%
Draw 15%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS No 64% Adana Demirspor Clean Sheet 61%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Germany
RB Leipzig
2 : 1 FT
1. FC Heidenheim
βœ“ Win 80%
Draw 14%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#5 Championship Β· England
Birmingham
0 : 0 FT
Rotherham
Win 77%
Draw 14%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 64%
#6 Premier League Β· England
Arsenal
2 : 1 FT
Wolves
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 16%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#7 Bundesliga Β· Germany
VfB Stuttgart
2 : 0 FT
Werder Bremen
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 67%
#8 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fateh
0 : 1 FT
Al Taee
Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 60%
#9 La Liga Β· Spain
Girona
2 : 1 FT
Valencia
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#10 Serie A Β· Italy
AC Milan
3 : 1 FT
Frosinone
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 59%
#11 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Fortuna Sittard
3 : 1 FT
Vitesse
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#12 Serie A Β· Italy
Lazio
1 : 0 FT
Cagliari
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#13 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Police Tero
1 : 3 FT
Trat FC
Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#14 Premier League Β· England
Newcastle
1 : 0 FT
Manchester United
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
#15 Premier League Β· England
Brentford
3 : 1 FT
Luton
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#16 Super League Β· Switzerland
Grasshoppers
5 : 0 FT
Lausanne
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 64%
#17 Premier League Β· Russia
Fakel
0 : 0 FT
Baltika
Win 55%
Draw 30%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 66% ✓ Fakel Clean Sheet 55%
#18 Championship Β· England
Ipswich
2 : 1 FT
Coventry
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 19%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 75%

Showing top 18 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Saturday 2 December 2023?

18 fixtures met the criteria, led by Antwerp vs OH Leuven at 82% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.