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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Sunday 22 January 2023

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

14 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 22 January 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Trabzonspor vs İstanbulspor at 71% in the Süper Lig. The shortlist runs from 71% down to 55%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 14 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the home win market — 71%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Trabzonspor
4 : 0 FT
İstanbulspor
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 19%
Win 9%
✓ BTTS No 58% ✓ Trabzonspor Clean Sheet 53%
#2 Premier League Β· England
Manchester City
3 : 0 FT
Wolves
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 60%
#3 La Liga Β· Spain
Barcelona
1 : 0 FT
Getafe
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#4 Premier League Β· England
Arsenal
3 : 2 FT
Manchester United
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#5 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Alanyaspor
2 : 2 FT
Fatih Karagümrük
Win 60%
Draw 20%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#6 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Nassr
1 : 0 FT
Al-Ettifaq
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#7 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Borussia Mönchengladbach
2 : 3 FT
Bayer Leverkusen
Win 59%
Draw 20%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#8 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Borussia Dortmund
4 : 3 FT
FC Augsburg
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#9 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Twente
2 : 0 FT
Utrecht
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 60%
#10 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Sharjah FC
1 : 1 FT
Al Nasr
Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#11 La Liga Β· Spain
Villarreal
1 : 0 FT
Girona
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 55%
#12 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
SK Beveren
2 : 0 FT
Beerschot VA
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 20%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 67%
#13 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Chiangrai United
1 : 1 FT
Lamphun Warrior
Win 55%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 61%
#14 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Antwerp
4 : 1 FT
Standard Liege
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 56%

Showing top 14 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Sunday 22 January 2023?

14 fixtures met the criteria, led by Trabzonspor vs İstanbulspor at 71% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.