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Goal Fest Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted expected total goals β€” Sunday 26 October 2025

Our prediction model calculates the expected number of goals each team is likely to score based on historical attack and defence strengths. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest combined expected goals (xG) β€” making them the best candidates for Over 2.5 and Both Teams to Score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 26 October 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Shandong Luneng vs SHANGHAI SIPG at 4.22 in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 4.22 down to 3.29, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Super League supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the goal fest market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· China
Shandong Luneng
3 : 1 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 21%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 77%
#2 Super League Β· China
Shanghai Shenhua
2 : 2 FT
Dalian Zhixing
Win 75%
Draw 15%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#3 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Bangkok United
4 : 3 FT
Lamphun Warrior
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 17%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#4 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
HJK Helsinki
1 : 1 FT
Inter Turku
Win 46%
Draw 22%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
#5 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Magdeburg
2 : 0 FT
Preußen Münster
Win 30%
Draw 21%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 71%
#6 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Twente
2 : 3 FT
Ajax
Win 38%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#7 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Cercle Brugge
1 : 1 FT
Zulte Waregem
Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#8 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1 : 1 FT
1. FC Nürnberg
Win 56%
Draw 20%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#9 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
AZ Alkmaar
4 : 1 FT
Utrecht
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 21%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#10 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Zurich
2 : 3 FT
BSC Young Boys
Win 59%
Draw 20%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#11 Super League Β· Switzerland
Servette FC
2 : 1 FT
FC Lugano
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 22%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#12 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Valerenga
2 : 1 FT
Stromsgodset
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 22%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#13 Premier League Β· England
Wolves
2 : 3 FT
Burnley
Win 48%
Draw 23%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#14 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Feyenoord
2 : 3 FT
PSV Eindhoven
Win 34%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#15 Super League Β· Switzerland
Lausanne
5 : 1 FT
FC Basel 1893
Win 38%
Draw 23%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#16 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Dynamo Kyiv
4 : 0 FT
Kryvbas KR
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 24%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 66%
#17 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Madrid
2 : 1 FT
Barcelona
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#18 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Raków Częstochowa
2 : 1 FT
Lechia Gdansk
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 23%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#19 Premier League Β· Russia
Zenit
2 : 1 FT
Dynamo
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#20 Premier League Β· Russia
Akron
1 : 1 FT
Lokomotiv
Win 26%
Draw 24%
Win 50%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%

Showing top 20 fixtures by combined expected goals. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Goal Fest β€” common questions

What does the Goal Fest market mean?

Goal Fest settles on whether a match is expected to produce a high combined goal count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate goal fest probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The combined expected goals shown here is the sum of both teams' expected goals, derived from their attack and defence strengths. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Goal Fest on Sunday 26 October 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Shandong Luneng vs SHANGHAI SIPG at 4.22 combined expected goals.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest combined expected goals of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these goal fest predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.