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Goal Fest Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted expected total goals β€” Sunday 9 February 2025

Our prediction model calculates the expected number of goals each team is likely to score based on historical attack and defence strengths. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest combined expected goals (xG) β€” making them the best candidates for Over 2.5 and Both Teams to Score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 9 February 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Bohemians 1905 vs České Budějovice at 4.08 in the Czech Liga. The shortlist runs from 4.08 down to 2.93, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Süper Lig supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the goal fest market — 35%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Bohemians 1905
1 : 0 FT
České Budějovice
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 18%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 72%
#2 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Galatasaray
1 : 0 FT
Adana Demirspor
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 66%
#3 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Alanyaspor
0 : 2 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 26%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 51%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 70%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Holstein Kiel
2 : 2 FT
VfL Bochum
Win 54%
Draw 22%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#5 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Karlsruher SC
0 : 2 FT
Eintracht Braunschweig
Win 58%
Draw 21%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 66%
#6 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Antalyaspor
0 : 0 FT
Başakşehir
Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 69%
#7 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Kasımpaşa
3 : 2 FT
Rizespor
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 24%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#8 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Baniyas SC
0 : 0 FT
Al Nasr
Win 48%
Draw 22%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 67%
#9 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Fortuna Sittard
0 : 2 FT
Ajax
Win 17%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 64%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 58%
#10 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
FK Jablonec
4 : 2 FT
Slovácko
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#11 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
SC Braga
2 : 0 FT
GIL Vicente
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 57%
#12 Ligue 1 Β· France
Angers
0 : 2 FT
Marseille
Win 18%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 56%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 60%
#13 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Korona Kielce
1 : 0 FT
Motor Lublin
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 62%
#14 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Lask Linz
0 : 0 FT
FC BW Linz
Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 62%
#15 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Waalwijk
5 : 0 FT
NAC Breda
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 24%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 60%
#16 Serie A Β· Italy
Cagliari
2 : 1 FT
Parma
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#17 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Anderlecht
2 : 0 FT
Antwerp
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 29%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 61%
#18 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Nakhon Pathom
2 : 1 FT
Khon Kaen United
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#19 Super League Β· Switzerland
Servette FC
2 : 1 FT
FC Basel 1893
Win 30%
Draw 28%
Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#20 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Baník Ostrava
1 : 0 FT
Sigma Olomouc
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 24%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 58%

Showing top 20 fixtures by combined expected goals. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Goal Fest β€” common questions

What does the Goal Fest market mean?

Goal Fest settles on whether a match is expected to produce a high combined goal count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate goal fest probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The combined expected goals shown here is the sum of both teams' expected goals, derived from their attack and defence strengths. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Goal Fest on Sunday 9 February 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bohemians 1905 vs České Budějovice at 4.08 combined expected goals.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest combined expected goals of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these goal fest predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.