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Ligue 1 Predictions

French league and cup matches only β€” Saturday 23 September 2023

Kick-off times in French time (CET/CEST)

Free French football predictions for 23 September 2023, showing only matches from Ligue 1, Ligue 2 and Coupe de France that our Poisson prediction model covers. Each fixture carries over 2.5 goals, both teams to score and match result probabilities.

There were eleven French fixtures on Saturday 23 September 2023, spread across two competitions, led by Ligue 1 and Ligue 2.

The model's standout reads were Estac Troyes vs Auxerre for over 2.5 goals at 73%, Estac Troyes vs Auxerre for both teams to score at 73%, and PAU as the strongest favourite at 52% (PAU vs Annecy). Each figure comes straight from the model's scoreline distribution.

Of the three standout picks that have since finished, two landed. That is a very small sample; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 logo

Ligue 1 predictions

2 matches Β· France Ligue 1 hub →
Nantes
5 : 3 FT
Lorient
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Stade Brestois 29
1 : 0 FT
Lyon
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Ligue 2 logo

Ligue 2 predictions

9 matches Β· France Ligue 2 hub →
Estac Troyes
1 : 2 FT
Auxerre
Win 37%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
Ajaccio
2 : 1 FT
Paris FC
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 30%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%
Amiens
0 : 0 FT
Valenciennes
Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Angers
2 : 0 FT
Bastia
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Concarneau
0 : 1 FT
Saint Etienne
Win 23%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Dunkerque
1 : 2 FT
Rodez
Win 26%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 43%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
Grenoble
2 : 1 FT
Quevilly
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 32%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 61%
Laval
2 : 1 FT
Guingamp
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 56%
PAU
0 : 3 FT
Annecy
Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%

Showing all 11 French fixtures, grouped by competition. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

French Football β€” common questions

Which French leagues do you cover?

Fixture360 covers a curated set of leagues rather than every division. Competitions we cover in France include Ligue 1, Ligue 2 and Coupe de France; other French competitions appear automatically whenever the data feed supplies fixtures for them. On Saturday 23 September 2023 the page lists Ligue 1 and Ligue 2.

How many French matches were predicted on Saturday 23 September 2023?

eleven French fixtures across two competitions. The highest over 2.5 probability is Estac Troyes vs Auxerre at 73%.

How are French football predictions calculated?

A Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from its attack and defence strengths in recent results, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. Over 2.5, both teams to score and match result probabilities are summed from those scorelines. No bookmaker odds are used as an input.

Are kick-off times shown in French time?

Yes. Kick-off times on this page's fixture cards are shown in French time (CET/CEST, the Europe/Paris time zone) and adjust automatically for summer time. They are not converted to your own location, so check the time against the official club or league listing before relying on it. The date selector uses UTC days.

Where can I find French over 2.5 and BTTS predictions?

The Over 2.5 Goals and BTTS Yes market pages rank fixtures across every league we cover, including Ligue 1 and Ligue 2. The "French Football picks of the day" card on this page links to the top French fixture for each market.

Are these betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.