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First Half Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest first-half goal probability — Saturday 3 September 2022

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First half goals (over 0.5) lands when at least one goal goes in before the break. Our prediction model scales each fixture's full-match expected goals by the share of goals its league actually scores in the first half, measured from recent results. Only fixtures with a 75%+ chance of a first-half goal are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 3 September 2022. The strongest reading belongs to SC Paderborn 07 vs 1. FC Magdeburg at 91% in the 2. Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 77%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eredivisie supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the first half goals market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Germany 91%

Over 2.5 92% BTTS Yes 77%

Bundesliga · Germany 84%

Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%

Veikkausliiga · Finland 84%

Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 76%

Eredivisie · Netherlands 83%

✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium 82%

✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%

Bundesliga · Germany 82%

Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 68%

Ligue 1 · France 82%

✓ Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 67%

Eredivisie · Netherlands 82%

✓ Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 66%

Eredivisie · Netherlands 82%

✓ Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 66%

#10

Premier League · Russia 80%

✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%

#11

Ligue 1 · France 80%

✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 65%

#12

Eredivisie · Netherlands 80%

✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

#13

2. Bundesliga · Germany 79%

Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 69%

#14

League One · England 79%

✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%

#15

Super League · China 78%

Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 59%

#16

Super League · Switzerland 78%

✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%

#17

League One · England 78%

Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 56%

#18

Challenger Pro League · Belgium 77%

✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%

#19

Serie B · Italy 77%

Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 57%

#20

League One · England 77%

✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by first-half goal probability (a 75% or higher chance of a first-half goal). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Over 1.5 Goals Half Time / Full Time Over 2.5 Goals Goal Fest

Predictions by country

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First Half Goals — common questions

What does the First Half Goals market mean?

First Half Goals settles on whether a match produces at least one goal before half-time. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate first half goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The first-half goal probability shown here is the probability of at least one goal before half-time — the full-match expected goals scaled by the share of goals each league actually produces in the first half, measured from its recent results. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for First Half Goals on Saturday 3 September 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by SC Paderborn 07 vs 1. FC Magdeburg at 91% first-half goal probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher chance of a first-half goal, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these first half goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.