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First Half Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest first-half goal probability β€” Friday 3 December 2021

First half goals (over 0.5) lands when at least one goal goes in before the break. Our prediction model scales each fixture's full-match expected goals by the share of goals its league actually scores in the first half, measured from recent results. Only fixtures with a 75%+ chance of a first-half goal are shown.

The model shortlists five fixtures on Friday 3 December 2021. Zenit vs FC Rostov led the list at 85% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 85% down to 77%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Of the five fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the first half goals market — 100%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· Russia 85%
Zenit
2 : 2 FT
FC Rostov
Win 74%
Draw 15%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands 82%
Almere City FC
2 : 0 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 21%
Draw 19%
Win 60%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 69%
#3 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland 81%
Stal Mielec
2 : 1 FT
Wisla Plock
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 20%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#4 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium 78%
St. Truiden
1 : 2 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 13%
Draw 16%
βœ“ Win 71%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#5 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands 77%
Helmond Sport
1 : 1 FT
FC Volendam
Win 14%
Draw 18%
Win 68%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 5 fixtures by first-half goal probability (a 75% or higher chance of a first-half goal). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

First Half Goals β€” common questions

What does the First Half Goals market mean?

First Half Goals settles on whether a match produces at least one goal before half-time. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate first half goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The first-half goal probability shown here is the probability of at least one goal before half-time — the full-match expected goals scaled by the share of goals each league actually produces in the first half, measured from its recent results. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for First Half Goals on Friday 3 December 2021?

five fixtures met the criteria, led by Zenit vs FC Rostov at 85% first-half goal probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher chance of a first-half goal, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these first half goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.