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Draw No Bet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability β€” Friday 23 April 2027

Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.

Five matches clear our threshold on Friday 23 April 2027. Saint Etienne vs Dijon (Saint Etienne (draw no bet)) tops the list at 85% in the Ligue 2. The shortlist runs from 85% down to 73%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 2 Β· France Saint Etienne (draw no bet) 85%
Saint Etienne
– : – 18:00
Dijon
Win 69%
Draw 18%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 56%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Almere City FC (draw no bet) 80%
Almere City FC
– : – 18:00
FC OSS
Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 62%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands FC Volendam (draw no bet) 77%
FC Volendam
– : – 18:00
Roda
Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
#4 Ligue 2 Β· France Montpellier (draw no bet) 77%
Nantes
– : – 18:00
Montpellier
Win 17%
Draw 26%
Win 57%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 56%
#5 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Piast Gliwice (draw no bet) 73%
Piast Gliwice
– : – 16:00
Wisla Plock
Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 67%

Showing top 5 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Draw No Bet β€” common questions

What does the Draw No Bet market mean?

Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Friday 23 April 2027?

five fixtures met the criteria, led by Saint Etienne vs Dijon (Saint Etienne (draw no bet)) at 85% draw no bet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.