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Draw No Bet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability β€” Friday 24 October 2025

Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.

Eight matches cleared our threshold on Friday 24 October 2025. Port FC vs Muangthong United (Port FC (draw no bet)) led the list at 89% in the Thai League 1. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 70%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the five fixtures on this list that have since finished, two landed the draw no bet market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Port FC (draw no bet) 89%
Port FC
1 : 0 FT
Muangthong United
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 18%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 58%
#2 Serie B Β· Italy Modena (draw no bet) 83%
Modena
2 : 1 FT
Empoli
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 27%
Win 12%
#3 Serie A Β· Italy AC Milan (draw no bet) 81%
AC Milan
2 : 2 FT
Pisa
Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#4 Premier Division Β· Ireland St Patrick's Athl. (draw no bet) 80%
St Patrick's Athl.
1 : 1 FT
Waterford
Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
BTTS No 55%
#5 Super League Β· China Wuhan Three Towns (draw no bet) 73%
Wuhan Three Towns
1 : 2 FT
Sichuan Jiuniu
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#6 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Jong Utrecht (draw no bet) 72%
Jong Utrecht
0 : 0 FT
FC OSS
Win 58%
Draw 20%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 69%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Jong Ajax (draw no bet) 71%
Jong Ajax
0 : 1 FT
Emmen
Win 56%
Draw 20%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 66%
#8 Superettan Β· Sweden Orgryte IS (draw no bet) 70%
Orgryte IS
0 : 2 FT
Vasteras SK FK
Win 55%
Draw 21%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 66%

Showing top 8 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Draw No Bet β€” common questions

What does the Draw No Bet market mean?

Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Friday 24 October 2025?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Port FC vs Muangthong United (Port FC (draw no bet)) at 89% draw no bet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.